23 Jul · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1557
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1464
FormWLWLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)