23 Jul · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1440
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1505
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Urban🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H16-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)