23 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1574
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1575
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
⚡ Cover lean · Lebek🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H15-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.