23 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1400
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1575
FormWWWLW
32%
68%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)