23 Jul · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1545
FormLWWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1403
FormLWLWL
65%
35%
🌟Juzek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)