23 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1484
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1403
FormLWLWL
59%
41%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+81
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)