23 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1478
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Klocek
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1449
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H18-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.