23 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1447
FormWWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1584
FormWWLWL
35%
65%
🌟Urban goes over total as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H21-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-16)