23 Jul · 11:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1370
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1466
FormWWLLL
39%
61%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+96
H2H19-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-14)