23 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1478
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rudomina
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1441
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 31% · 3.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.