23 Jul · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1377
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1434
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)