23 Jul · 13:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1473
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Adamus
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1373
FormLLWWL
61%
39%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)