23 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1490
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Klocek
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1404
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)