23 Jul · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1491
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rudomina
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1450
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 19% · 5.35· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H39-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)