23 Jul · 15:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1479
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1491
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Rudomina stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.