23 Jul · 14:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1548
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zochniak
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1543
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (25)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H11-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.