23 Jul · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1437
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Juzek
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1366
FormLLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Juzek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H3-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)