23 Jul · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1409
FormWWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1468
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)