23 Jul · 18:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1402
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wnek
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1328
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H52-57
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)