23 Jul · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1381
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kowalczyk
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1328
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Piecowski🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)