23 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1522
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1445
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
🌟Urban goes over total as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H3-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)