23 Jul · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1537
FormWLWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Pytlas
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1342
FormLLLWW
70%
30%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~78 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+195
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)