23 Jul · 20:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1585
FormLWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1787
FormLWLWW
29%
71%
🌟Nocun covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H16-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-1)