23 Jul · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1480
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1328
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H14-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-1)