23 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1395
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wnek
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1326
FormWLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Piecowski🌟Piecowski covers set handicap as underdog 89% (18)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)