23 Jul · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1395
FormWLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1490
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)