23 Jul · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1333
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jablonski
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1425
FormLLLWL
40%
60%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Jablonski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)