23 Jul · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1540
FormWWLWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Adamus
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1341
FormWLLLL
71%
29%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~78 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+199
H2H20-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-16)