23 Jul · 23:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1689
FormWWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1792
FormWWLWL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)