24 Jul · 00:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1347
FormWWLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1534
FormLWWLW
30%
70%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~79 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+187
H2H20-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+187)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-17)