24 Jul · 00:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1477
FormLLLWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1794
FormWWWLW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~70 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+317
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+317)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)