24 Jul · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1343
FormLWWLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1630
FormLWLLL
22%
78%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 87% · 1.14· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+287
H2H42-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+287)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-8)