24 Jul · 02:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1582
FormWWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Oracz
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1343
FormLWWLL
74%
26%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)