24 Jul · 02:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1587
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1693
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (41)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H43-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-36)