24 Jul · 02:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1269
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1316
FormLLWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Golaszewski🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H36-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)