24 Jul · 03:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1312
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piecowski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1269
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Golaszewski🌟Piecowski goes over total as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)