24 Jul · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1568
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oracz
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1531
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 29% · 3.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H22-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.