24 Jul · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1177
FormWLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Machelski
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1495
FormWWLLL
20%
80%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+318
H2H16-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+318)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-6)