24 Jul · 05:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1436
FormWLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Warpas
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1344
FormLLLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+92
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)