24 Jul · 04:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1559
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1646
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)