24 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1174
FormLWLLL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1586
FormWLWWL
14%
86%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~71 pts
0-3
43%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+412
H2H16-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+412)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-3)