24 Jul · 05:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1289
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1609
FormLWWLW
20%
80%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~75 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+320
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+320)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)