24 Jul · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1431
FormWLLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1570
FormWLLWW
35%
65%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)