24 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1287
FormLLLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
24%
76%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+264
H2H25-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+264)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-2)