24 Jul · 06:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1402
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sulkowski
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1339
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)