24 Jul · 07:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1440
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Warpas
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1339
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)