24 Jul · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1431
FormWLLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1642
FormWLWWW
28%
72%
🌟Paszkiewicz covers set handicap as underdog 92% (13)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+211
H2H21-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-3)