24 Jul · 08:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1448
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)