24 Jul · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1433
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1500
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H21-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)