24 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1444
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1498
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)